User blog:SketchFalcon/Characters' Chances of Returning

What's up ladies, this blog is to reflect on the chances of characters who have previously appeared in Smash that have not been confirmed yet. Well, except for Roy and Pichu, because seriously? I've never seen a discussion where they were brought up.

Ness
Going for him: Been in all three Smash Bros. games, main representative for a beloved cult series

Going against him: Nothing really

Chances: 100%

Jigglypuff
Going for him: Been in all three Smash Bros. games, a well-known original Pokémon.

Going against him: Pokémon already has four reps but considering it's Jigglypuff that's not much of a block.

Chances: 99%

Wario
Going for him: Only possible representative from a series which has two Assist Trophies already, original moveset, plus SSB4's rating includes "comic mischief"...:P

Going against him: Nothing really except maybe time constraints.

Chances: 95%

Mr. Game & Watch
Going for him: A main component of classic retro gaming; appeared in the Pac-Man trailer.

Going against him: Not very well-known but that shouldn't deter Sakurai and Smash has boosted his recognition.

Chances: 95%

Ganondorf
Going for him: Been in since Melee, main Legend of Zelda villain, shown in a video leak.

Going against him: Captain Falcon clone, terrible moveset, but hey those can be changed.

Chances: 90%

Ice Climbers
Going for them: Been in since Melee, classic game characters, have one of the most unique Smash attributes.

Going against them: Um...maybe time constraints and lack of fame? I doubt Sakurai would forget them though.

Chances: 90%

Falco
Going for him: Been in since Melee, Star Fox is too big a series for only one rep, plus a new Star Fox game is coming out.

Going against him: Fox clone, Landmaster, could be overshadowed by a new character.

Chances: 85%

Wolf
Going for him: One of main Star Fox villains, Star Fox needs more reps, had most original movest in Brawl.

Going against him: Still somewhat of a Fox clone, Landmaster, not as well-known as Fox or Falco and has a higher chance of getting replaced.

Chances: 60%

R.O.B.
Going for him: Classic game character, represents little-known universes.

Going against him: Represents little-known universes! Could easily fall prey to time constraints. Also not a very good moveset.

Chances: 55%

Mewtwo
Going for it: Well-known Pokemon and Melee character, only Melee character that people missed, still has original moveset, was only excluded from Brawl due to time constraints.

Going against it: Already a ton of Pokemon reps; time constraints may strike again, Lucario has a somewhat similar moveset.

Chances: 50%

Lucas
Going for him: Represents a cult classic Japanese game, had good game in Brawl.

Going against him: Ness clone, appeared in ONE Japan-only game, second rep from a rather minor series.

Chances: 45%

Dr. Mario
Going for him: Appeared in Melee, represents a little-known part of Mario history, shown in a picture leak.

Going against him: A complete Mario clone, was cut from Brawl, nobody really cares about him.

Chances: 25%

Snake
Going for him: Quite popular, good moveset, third party!.

Going against him: From a third-party series not really affiliated with Nintendo, was only included in Brawl via a request.

Chances: 10%

Ivysaur
Going for him: Is a unique Grass-type

Going against him: Already a ton of Pokemon reps, not a very well-known Pokemon, nobody really cared about him in Brawl.

Chances: 5%

Squirtle
Going for him: Uh...appeared in Brawl?

Going against him: Already a ton of Pokemon reps, not a very well-known Pokemon, we already have a water type, nobody really cared about him in Brawl.

Chances: 1%

Later I shall follow up weighing the chances of certain characters as newcomers!